Will it develop?

AREA OF CONCERN IN THE BAHAMAS CONSISTS OF A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM A 1006 MB LOW
CENTERED JUST S OF ANDROS ISLAND NEAR 23N77W ACROSS THE N BAHAMA
ISLANDS TO NEAR 31N79W. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN 36 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT THE SHOWER/
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED E OF THE TROUGH/LOW.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE E
OF THE TROUGH TO 70W FROM 22N-30N.




http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATW...ml/041211.shtml?


:blink: :huh:

I think it will develop due to high SSt's and low shear.

Looks familiar, doesn' t it?



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-vis-loop.html

I am sincerely worried about this one.

Recon going out tommorrow. USPECT AREA (BAHAMAS)
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 04/1500Z A. 05/0600,1200Z
B. NOAA2 01IIA INVEST B. AFXXX 02IIA CYCLONE
C. 04/1330Z C. 05/0230Z
D. 24.0N 78.0W D. 24.0N 81.0W
E. 04/1430Z TO 04/2000Z E. 05/0500Z TO 05/1230Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

I am worried about every single one of them, even when they are way out there.

I agree.

has a good chance to develop

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/sat/GOES..._atl_ir_enh.gif

It looks like it is coming our way whether it becomes a storm or not.......................

It sure did..........................I am not listening to our local forecasters anymore........not for now.................they said they didn't think it would become a storm.................