WTIO31 PGTW 272100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZOCT2005//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 14.5N 81.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 81.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 15.1N 81.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 15.6N 81.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.0N 80.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 16.2N 79.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 81.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHEAST
OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 271645Z
AMSU PASS INDICATES STRONG CONVECTION DECOUPLED TO THE WEST OF A WELL
ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z AND
282100Z. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN
270151ZOCT2005 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 270130).//
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WTIO31 PGTW 280900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 15.3N 80.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N 80.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.1N 79.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.6N 78.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 80.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 280516Z AMSU PASS REVEALS THAT THE STRONG CONVECTION
REMAINS DECOUPLED TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
AND WILL CONTINUE TRACKING INLAND THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 282100Z.//
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WTIO31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 16.1N 79.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 79.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.8N 77.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 17.4N 76.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 78.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THE SYSTEM MADE LANDFALL NEAR ONGOLE, INDIA
AT APPROXIMATELY 281200Z. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
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